Large tracts of land at low lying elevation make deltas vulnerable to sea-level rise and other climate change impacts. Deltas have some of the highest population densities in the world; in total with 500 million, often poor, residents. The adaptive strategies available to deltas residents may not be adequate to cope with pervasive, systematic, or surprise changes associated with climate change. Moreover, sea-level rise and sinking land levels could displace large numbers of people. However, a range of temporary and permanent migration is already a widespread phenomenon in deltas, and in some cases, migration could be to the benefit of the migrants.
DECCMA's overarching aims are to evaluate the effectiveness of adaptation options in deltas, assess migration as an adaptation in deltaic environments under a changing climate, and deliver policy support to create the conditions for sustainable gender-sensitive adaptation.
DECCMA’s objectives are to:
1. Understand the governance mechanisms that promote or hinder migration of men and women in deltas.
2. Identify climate change impact hotspots in deltas where vulnerability will grow and adaptation will be needed.
3. Understand the conditions that promote migration and its outcomes, as well as gender-specific adaptation options for trapped populations, via surveys.
4. Understand how climate-change-driven global and national macro-economic processes impact on migration of men and women in deltas.
5. Produce an integrated systems-based bio-physical and socio-economic model to investigate potential future gendered migration under climate change.
6. Conceptualise and evaluate migration within a wide suite of potential adaptation options at both the household and delta level.
7. Identify feasible and desirable adaptation options and support implementation of stakeholder led gender-sensitive adaptation policy choices.
DECCMA looks at the impacts of climate change and other environmental drivers across three contrasting deltas in Africa and Asia: the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna in Bangladesh and India, the Volta in Ghana and the Mahanadi in India.
In each of these deltas, the consortium analyses processes of migration using survey, participatory research and economic methods, and contrasts potential migration of men and women with other adaptation approaches using a stakeholder-driven and co-produced integrated assessment approach.
The work is carried out through six work packages (WPs):
o WP1 has the purpose of engaging stakeholders in the project, understanding the capacity of the governance system to support migration in the context of other adaptation, and leaving a policy and practical legacy from the research.
o WP2 examines the vulnerability, environmental stressors and hazards of a range of climate change and biophysically driven scenarios across the four study deltas.
o WP3 is assessing migration as an adaptation in deltaic environments with a changing climate.
o WP4's purpose is to provide a tool that allows policy makers to see how different climate scenarios affect the economic options in the delta and how these in turn affect vulnerability and sustainability in the region.
o WP5 is developing methods to assess adaptation choices in deltas with a strong focus on migration. It will integrate the results of WP2, WP3 and WP4.
o WP6 identifies and evaluates the scope, types, and sustainability of adaptation options (including migration) occurring in deltas.
By creating networks of stakeholders within the deltas at different scales including community, NGOs, government and researchers, DECCMA will generate robust and credible evidence about current adaptation that supports the work of stakeholders. Engaged stakeholders in policy and practice will begin to demand the consortium’s results, which will be incorporated into policy and practice. In this way, DECCMA will contribute to a situation where key stakeholders, including the most vulnerable deltaic communities have the capacities (institutions, systems, practices and skills) that enable them to make evidence-based choices for coping with current variability and potential climate change. Where responses to change involve leaving the delta, migrants will have the capacities to enable them to follow sustainable livelihoods in new locations.
For more information, visit www.deccma.com